OK...so we're just a week or so removed from the World Series and only half way through the NFL season, but it's never to early to start stoking the fire with baseball talk. There's a million scenarios floating around this time of year, but let's talk about the latest on Jake Peavy. It's almost guaranteed that the Padres are going to move him this off season. Right now the rumored most likely candidates are the Dodgers, Braves and the Cubs. It's unlikely he ends up in L.A. unless there's some sort of 3 way deal struck. Most teams don't like trading with division rivals. That leaves the Cubs and Braves as the top two. Peavy also has a clause in his contract that prevents the Padres from trading him to 14 teams. This straightens the Cubs and Braves position and may add the Cardinals as a sleeper. Most analysts don't think the Cubs have enough young talent to land Peavy. I'm thinking that it may not be all about talent as much as it is cost cutting by the Padres. Threes rumors that the owner is going through a messy divorce and may not want the team to be quite as valuable when settlement time comes.
So here's a scenario that could make sense from both a financial standpoint and maybe save face for the Padres as well. The Cubs send Fukudome, and two or three high end prospects (either Pie, Rich Hill , Angel Guzman or Sean Marshall) to the Padres for Peavy and Kahlil Greene. Sounds far fetched doesn't it? Maybe not as far fetched as you might think and here's why. Fukodome is signed through 2011 and owed $38 million. Peavy has an $8 million option for 09 and then $52 million guaranteed through 2011. The Padres aren't going to let him walk for free. He's way to marketable. They have to pick up the option, meaning they are into him for $60 million through 2011. Greene is only signed through 09 for $6.5 million. San Diego in essence sheds $28.5 million and comes away with some talented young players and one huge gamble in Fuludome. On the other hand Greene has been somewhat of a gamble for them already, so it may be a wash in that regard.
This would afford the Cubs a 1 year audition of Greene at shortstop. Greene is only a .248 lifetime hitter, but in his only full season, he hit 27 homers and drove in 97 runs. That's pretty potent power numbers for a shortstop. It would give the Cubs the opportunity to move Theriot to 2B and DeRosa could play right. Salary wise, there's a lot of questions about Dempster walking and maybe even Kerry Wood. Peavy would be insurance if Dempster did leave, and even if he doesn't who wouldn't want a former Cy Young winner who's only going to be 28 years old just after the season starts next year. The Cubs will also recoup a little over $9 million in salary after 09 when Marquis contract is done.
Who knows if any of this will happen or is even considered, but it sure is fun to play GM during the off season!!!
So here's a scenario that could make sense from both a financial standpoint and maybe save face for the Padres as well. The Cubs send Fukudome, and two or three high end prospects (either Pie, Rich Hill , Angel Guzman or Sean Marshall) to the Padres for Peavy and Kahlil Greene. Sounds far fetched doesn't it? Maybe not as far fetched as you might think and here's why. Fukodome is signed through 2011 and owed $38 million. Peavy has an $8 million option for 09 and then $52 million guaranteed through 2011. The Padres aren't going to let him walk for free. He's way to marketable. They have to pick up the option, meaning they are into him for $60 million through 2011. Greene is only signed through 09 for $6.5 million. San Diego in essence sheds $28.5 million and comes away with some talented young players and one huge gamble in Fuludome. On the other hand Greene has been somewhat of a gamble for them already, so it may be a wash in that regard.
This would afford the Cubs a 1 year audition of Greene at shortstop. Greene is only a .248 lifetime hitter, but in his only full season, he hit 27 homers and drove in 97 runs. That's pretty potent power numbers for a shortstop. It would give the Cubs the opportunity to move Theriot to 2B and DeRosa could play right. Salary wise, there's a lot of questions about Dempster walking and maybe even Kerry Wood. Peavy would be insurance if Dempster did leave, and even if he doesn't who wouldn't want a former Cy Young winner who's only going to be 28 years old just after the season starts next year. The Cubs will also recoup a little over $9 million in salary after 09 when Marquis contract is done.
Who knows if any of this will happen or is even considered, but it sure is fun to play GM during the off season!!!
2 comments:
Hey thanks for the link on your sidebar. I write for NQTC. I like the content of your blog, keep it up, but try to proofread better, it's driving me nuts. Fukudome leaving is unlikely at best but it would be great!
The Cubs will screw it up like they have doing for 100 years.
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